Blog

"Stay opportunistically LONG - short term models broadly mid-range"

27 November 2020

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"Start BUILDing SHORT positions on strength (if forthcoming)"

14 October 2020

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LV on Friday, 9th August 2019: "Bonds & Kindleberger's Framework for Bubbles"

13 August 2019

Parabolic Bond Prices

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Is anything compellingly cheap?

18 December 2018

There are a number of reasons to switch weightings out of one asset class and into another. One of those reasons, which is often an effective ...

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The power of risk appetite tools in SELL-offs

26 October 2018

Many market watchers/traders have been confounded/whipsawed by this latest SELL-off, especially in the past two weeks. In particular: i) several ...

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Value or Growth: Will the gap close? What drives relative performance?

28 September 2018

The debate over whether a value or a growth style produces better long term investment returns continues, with staunch advocates on both sides. ...

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Trump: The Historical Logic behind Tariffs

12 April 2018

Trump: The Historical Logic behind Tariffs Summary & Conclusion: “…Whilst the Trump team’s diagnosis of the driver of the current account deficit is ...

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The 2018 correction: How infamous will it be?

12 February 2018

With sharp moves lower in equities in the past two weeks, the market psychology of the past 18 months has clearly broken. Not only that, but the ...

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Climbing the wall of worry - Friday 5th January 2018

09 January 2018

There seems to be a growing list of reasons to worry about the outlook for equities. In particular, on many metrics, this bull market appears ...

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OIL: On Three Timeframes 1st December 2017

12 December 2017

In the short term, yesterday’s OPEC meeting does not preclude further near term strength in oil prices. The deal was broadly in line with analysts’ ...

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