The Longview Blog

Trump: The Historical Logic behind Tariffs

Summary & Conclusion: “…Whilst the Trump team’s diagnosis of the driver of the current account deficit is wrong, his (i.e. Trump’s) actions viewed through...

With sharp moves lower in equities in the past two weeks, the market psychology of the past 18 months has clearly broken. Not only that, but the break has been relatively unnerving and severe. A...

There seems to be a growing list of reasons to worry about the outlook for equities. In particular, on many metrics, this bull market appears increasingly tired (e.g. see FIG 2) whilst the economic...

In the short term, yesterday’s OPEC meeting does not preclude further near term strength in oil prices. The deal was broadly in line with analysts’ expectations (and hence largely priced in). Oil...