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"As has been widely reported, this has been one of the fastest recoveries by the US stock market from a major drawdown. From the April 8th closing lows, it took 54 trading days to recover the 19% loss during the pullback (i.e. based on closing prices). By way of comparison, post the March 2020 COVID sell-off it took 107 trading days from the March 23rd lows to reclaim the highs (from Feb 2020).

"As that froth has emerged, our SELL-off indicator has continued to build to higher levels. As of yesterdays close it had reached +36 (an unusually high level for this model). At +20, it warns of a high likelihood of a pullback (and signals that global markets are becoming overly exuberant)."

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